THANK YOU for doing this analysis. This "whistleblower" narrative pushed by Liz Gunn has divided the truther community here in New Zealand. Me being one who is appalled that Liz Gunn did this. Leads me to believe she is a ConOp. Placed early on as a journalist on our side, to get a fan base. Since she also set up her political Party supposedly under the guise of being there for the freedom fighters while taking votes off the real threat, NZ FIRST. Who luckily still managed to get in via Special votes and IS making some changes. I note how she (And Ally Cook) have specifically used this BS expose to assault Winston Peters demanding he take action using this BS narrative. When in fact NO action IS necessary when he has already announced there will be a public inquiry that will include looking into the safety and efficacy of these vaccines. The two of them made some desperate plea that its SOOO urgent and Winston didnt respond....why was it suddenly so extremely urgent when "Barry" had the data for a while. At least 8 months?!
Not forgetting, this data shows NOTHING and is pure speculation. Anyone who can google NZ death stats and compare that to this data would see that straight up. All they presented was their own TWIST on the data using the worst month they could find on deaths, for maximum impact. And even in court, the only way to prove a death is via autopsy, not speculative data.
There is excess deaths yes, there are vaccine deaths yes but this is a total SCAM. Especially since they are also inviting Kiwis to come forward as a whistleblower if you have any information. BUT, where would the support and protection be exactly when Lix Gunn herself RAN AND HID like a COWARD when Barry was arrested! Mind you, that was all part of the intentional drama and emotion for their narrative! And you look overseas to see what happens to whistleblowers, NOT wise. Leave it to Winston and the Public inquiry being done where Im sure he and his team do have experts in their fields who will provide expert and qualified evidence instead of this BS SCAM from Liz and Kirsch. I believe there has been another lady investigating actual suspicious deaths since 2021 that could be vaccine related and has been interviewing people if possible and has her own database. That would be more reliable than this bs data scam. There is also our VAERS data that is more reliable than this BS data scam that someone also recently released on substack.
Kirsch IMHO can STF away from NZ and our genuine freedom movement. Kirsch who using bully tactics harassed everyone who dared challenge is data representation with his usual 1 million dollar bets where all he would do is argue his own narrative. He also LIED about his server being taken down where he was "ghosted" by Wasabi. I got the data off his server myself on the 4 Dec and when I saw his BS follow up on this whistleblower after he was arrested, I checked his server 7 Dec and could still dload the data! I took a snapshot of me logged on!
One clear sign to pick out a Controlled Operative is whether or not they are actually making a difference OR if they are creating Chaos and Division. Liz shows herself as a truther but IS creating chaos and division. We dont need the infiltration nor division and those of us aware to whats going down with this global coup are see a Con a mile away, we aint all the "sheep" the world believes us to be.
Meanwhile...why was there a mass population 'vaccine solution' against a disease it was known from the beginning wasn't a serious threat to most people?
The political and social damage caused by the imposition of coercive/mandated vaccination must be evaluated - the destruction of personal autonomy and bodily integrity, and the exploitation of the population with highly questionable vaccine products.
The most astonishing thing is the medical 'profession' collaborated with the violation of voluntary informed consent, the most important ethical principle in medicine.
And it's still happening... I question whether anyone has given valid voluntary informed consent to the Covid jabs...or any vaccination for that matter.
I am no medical genius or even quite frankly that interested in ‘science’
But I can smell a rat from quite a distance
I have had 3 football mates from 1980’/90’s who I haven’t seen for many years die from heart attacks and strokes ( heard through the grapevine) a mates little sister die from blood clots, a friend of my wife lucky to be alive after a stroke, 2 people I play tennis with Bell’s palsy and shingles ( we thought the first one was a stroke), another guy I play volleyball with a heart attack, my wife knows someone who was diagnosed with cancer and died in a month, met another lady (just last week) who had encephalitis and is fucked for life , will never work again has massive brain fog, specialist thinks vax
There are some others I have no doubt forgotten, these are ones I know about, many people are hesitant to share illnesses or most likely vax injuries
All these people were double triple and maybe vaxed more.
I have been at Marches in the city where I have met Mums whose kids have got myocarditis.
Probably 100% zero have been reported to Vaers.
Alternatively pre vax we could go years without hearing of deaths or serious illnesses from friends or family.
So I just don’t buy for a second that this data proves nothing or even the opposite, what I do know is statistics can be manipulated to show what you want.
Interesting article, thanks for the analysis, I look forward to looking through the GitHub repo. As someone from NZ the death rates espoused by those releasing of the data always seemed absurd and I was surprised no one was talking about the age of the cohorts. It seems like the guy (awaiting imprisonment) who released the data may be genuine?!? but have no understanding of death rates amongst elderly cohorts, but I sadly I don't think the same can be said of those pushing the story. All that being said, there does seem to be an increase in emergency call outs (my town has a volunteer fire brigade that doubles as paramedics and is summonsed to duty by siren) , we've gone from 2-3 alarms per week to at least 1 sometimes 5 per day. But as for the death rates reported in "alt" media from this leak they are impossible, half the country would be dead. One point to note, e.g. what seems a data error, the 32 doses for one person, may in fact be true, a few people were busted by the cops for getting injections on behalf of others for cash, so that the others could get the vaccine passports and keep their jobs, so while unlikely it is still possible. Thanks and keep up the good work.
Personally, I worry that extended debate over this kind of stuff takes our eyes off the ball. It's like the game "look over there". We already know that Operation Warp Speed was run by the DOD as a bioweapons program, complete with laws applicable only during an "emergency" allowing contracts to call for the manufacture of "countermeasures", not vaccines. We already know that no informed consent was possible and that the ingredients of the jabs are toxic to the human body. I think there's plenty of information already available to fry the perpetrators of the so-called "pandemic".
So ... what should we be focusing the vast majority of our time on in my opinion? Pressuring our individual states to maximize the use of states' rights to oppose the global cabal of psychopathic oligarchs. Withdrawing from the WHO. Organizing massive rebellion against the installation of financial control systems like CBDC (or equivalent), digital IDs, centralized surveillance databases, and social credit systems. Loss of financial transaction freedom means loss of individual sovereignty. Bye bye USA, hello China. MAKE SOME NOISE.
Remember how he had people searching for the elusive "underreporting factor", when the gold standard of post-approval pharmacovigilance data analysis are proportional reporting ratios?
He ignored all of my attempts to set that straight.
"Why do Steve Kirsch (and others) insist on touting this data... Why did the authorities wait... Is this data set a “false flag” to poison the well or conflate?"
There are no 'apparent' excess deaths because you haven't allowed for the incredible savings of life as a consequence of no influenza/other respiratory infections. When you calculate your 'expected deaths' you need to calculate them on a no-respiratory infections basis. These infections result in deaths attributed to all causes, on a seasonal basis. I've done a lot of work on this, in an equivalent locked-down jurisdiction, Victoria (Australia).
If controlling for the absence of infections still doesn't bring forth the excess deaths then we'd be asking about the contents of the injections used in New Zealand.
Thanks for reviewing this data. I would ask you a few questions:
1. In the graph with deaths per day of exposure, you state a small increase is due to ageing. The rate increases to nearly double (150->300) during a year or so. Are you suggesting one year of ageing doubles the risk of death?
2. In the last graph you provide, with the expected mortality for the data cohort, why are you so confident it's due to missing data? Most other studies show that the vaccinated die at a lower rate than the average population. That would explain the difference.
3. Also in the last graph, you do not comment on the vastly different temporal patterns between expected and observed. Why would they differ?
Based on 2 and 3, my take is that you have identified what most safety studies have, namely that the mortality of the vaccinated is less than the general population.
Since it is entirely possible for a cohort to be both healthier than the average citizen and at the same time experience an increased risk from an intervention, this looks like a case of ignoratio elenchi.
I've been following nz data for quite some time. My opinion of it is that it is good for nothing more than a ball park estimate. This includes statsNZ data which is based on quarterly adjustment to a baseline derived from 4 yearly census data with a few other factors thrown in. Its just an estimate.
I wasted too much time on kirsch data before concluding it was not complete enough to draw any serious conclusions,. But i have to agree that that data as it was presented does show what your article shows ie, a slight decrease in age standardized mortality. That said I also agree that the NZ ministry of health should supply all data.
I really enjoyed the dive into Github territory and R programming. Way out of my current league, but at least there are good people out there who can utilize it.
I find the NZWB data fascinating. We don't know, and maybe never will, where it came from and why it appears to be a partial dataset.
The situation reminds me of the analysis of Francesca Gino's papers and datasets. The datasets that she based her papers on were clearly manipulated, but in a clumsy way. http://datacolada.org/112 If the NZWB data was manipulated, did whoever did that think that no one would notice the manipulation?
I find Steve Kirsch often appears to leap to conclusions even when the data doesn't support what he is saying. This is yet another example of that.
I am skeptical of the vaccines. However , I agree with you that the NZWB dataset says nothing, one way or the other, about the safety and efficacy of the vaccines. I was so hoping we would finally know something. Alas, it was not to be.
THANK YOU for doing this analysis. This "whistleblower" narrative pushed by Liz Gunn has divided the truther community here in New Zealand. Me being one who is appalled that Liz Gunn did this. Leads me to believe she is a ConOp. Placed early on as a journalist on our side, to get a fan base. Since she also set up her political Party supposedly under the guise of being there for the freedom fighters while taking votes off the real threat, NZ FIRST. Who luckily still managed to get in via Special votes and IS making some changes. I note how she (And Ally Cook) have specifically used this BS expose to assault Winston Peters demanding he take action using this BS narrative. When in fact NO action IS necessary when he has already announced there will be a public inquiry that will include looking into the safety and efficacy of these vaccines. The two of them made some desperate plea that its SOOO urgent and Winston didnt respond....why was it suddenly so extremely urgent when "Barry" had the data for a while. At least 8 months?!
Not forgetting, this data shows NOTHING and is pure speculation. Anyone who can google NZ death stats and compare that to this data would see that straight up. All they presented was their own TWIST on the data using the worst month they could find on deaths, for maximum impact. And even in court, the only way to prove a death is via autopsy, not speculative data.
There is excess deaths yes, there are vaccine deaths yes but this is a total SCAM. Especially since they are also inviting Kiwis to come forward as a whistleblower if you have any information. BUT, where would the support and protection be exactly when Lix Gunn herself RAN AND HID like a COWARD when Barry was arrested! Mind you, that was all part of the intentional drama and emotion for their narrative! And you look overseas to see what happens to whistleblowers, NOT wise. Leave it to Winston and the Public inquiry being done where Im sure he and his team do have experts in their fields who will provide expert and qualified evidence instead of this BS SCAM from Liz and Kirsch. I believe there has been another lady investigating actual suspicious deaths since 2021 that could be vaccine related and has been interviewing people if possible and has her own database. That would be more reliable than this bs data scam. There is also our VAERS data that is more reliable than this BS data scam that someone also recently released on substack.
Kirsch IMHO can STF away from NZ and our genuine freedom movement. Kirsch who using bully tactics harassed everyone who dared challenge is data representation with his usual 1 million dollar bets where all he would do is argue his own narrative. He also LIED about his server being taken down where he was "ghosted" by Wasabi. I got the data off his server myself on the 4 Dec and when I saw his BS follow up on this whistleblower after he was arrested, I checked his server 7 Dec and could still dload the data! I took a snapshot of me logged on!
One clear sign to pick out a Controlled Operative is whether or not they are actually making a difference OR if they are creating Chaos and Division. Liz shows herself as a truther but IS creating chaos and division. We dont need the infiltration nor division and those of us aware to whats going down with this global coup are see a Con a mile away, we aint all the "sheep" the world believes us to be.
Meanwhile...why was there a mass population 'vaccine solution' against a disease it was known from the beginning wasn't a serious threat to most people?
The political and social damage caused by the imposition of coercive/mandated vaccination must be evaluated - the destruction of personal autonomy and bodily integrity, and the exploitation of the population with highly questionable vaccine products.
The most astonishing thing is the medical 'profession' collaborated with the violation of voluntary informed consent, the most important ethical principle in medicine.
And it's still happening... I question whether anyone has given valid voluntary informed consent to the Covid jabs...or any vaccination for that matter.
I am no stats guru
I am no medical genius or even quite frankly that interested in ‘science’
But I can smell a rat from quite a distance
I have had 3 football mates from 1980’/90’s who I haven’t seen for many years die from heart attacks and strokes ( heard through the grapevine) a mates little sister die from blood clots, a friend of my wife lucky to be alive after a stroke, 2 people I play tennis with Bell’s palsy and shingles ( we thought the first one was a stroke), another guy I play volleyball with a heart attack, my wife knows someone who was diagnosed with cancer and died in a month, met another lady (just last week) who had encephalitis and is fucked for life , will never work again has massive brain fog, specialist thinks vax
There are some others I have no doubt forgotten, these are ones I know about, many people are hesitant to share illnesses or most likely vax injuries
All these people were double triple and maybe vaxed more.
I have been at Marches in the city where I have met Mums whose kids have got myocarditis.
Probably 100% zero have been reported to Vaers.
Alternatively pre vax we could go years without hearing of deaths or serious illnesses from friends or family.
So I just don’t buy for a second that this data proves nothing or even the opposite, what I do know is statistics can be manipulated to show what you want.
My eyes and ears tell me the truth.
Interesting article, thanks for the analysis, I look forward to looking through the GitHub repo. As someone from NZ the death rates espoused by those releasing of the data always seemed absurd and I was surprised no one was talking about the age of the cohorts. It seems like the guy (awaiting imprisonment) who released the data may be genuine?!? but have no understanding of death rates amongst elderly cohorts, but I sadly I don't think the same can be said of those pushing the story. All that being said, there does seem to be an increase in emergency call outs (my town has a volunteer fire brigade that doubles as paramedics and is summonsed to duty by siren) , we've gone from 2-3 alarms per week to at least 1 sometimes 5 per day. But as for the death rates reported in "alt" media from this leak they are impossible, half the country would be dead. One point to note, e.g. what seems a data error, the 32 doses for one person, may in fact be true, a few people were busted by the cops for getting injections on behalf of others for cash, so that the others could get the vaccine passports and keep their jobs, so while unlikely it is still possible. Thanks and keep up the good work.
Personally, I worry that extended debate over this kind of stuff takes our eyes off the ball. It's like the game "look over there". We already know that Operation Warp Speed was run by the DOD as a bioweapons program, complete with laws applicable only during an "emergency" allowing contracts to call for the manufacture of "countermeasures", not vaccines. We already know that no informed consent was possible and that the ingredients of the jabs are toxic to the human body. I think there's plenty of information already available to fry the perpetrators of the so-called "pandemic".
So ... what should we be focusing the vast majority of our time on in my opinion? Pressuring our individual states to maximize the use of states' rights to oppose the global cabal of psychopathic oligarchs. Withdrawing from the WHO. Organizing massive rebellion against the installation of financial control systems like CBDC (or equivalent), digital IDs, centralized surveillance databases, and social credit systems. Loss of financial transaction freedom means loss of individual sovereignty. Bye bye USA, hello China. MAKE SOME NOISE.
1. If Steve's interpretation is incorrect, he must say so.
2. See 3.
3. False flag with plant could explain all.
You two are the best!
♥️
Excellent work, thank you!
Steve Kirsch has been doing this for some time.
Remember how he had people searching for the elusive "underreporting factor", when the gold standard of post-approval pharmacovigilance data analysis are proportional reporting ratios?
He ignored all of my attempts to set that straight.
Ah Kahn Syed clearly... so many questions:
"Why do Steve Kirsch (and others) insist on touting this data... Why did the authorities wait... Is this data set a “false flag” to poison the well or conflate?"
Trust no one Mr Mulder.
There are no 'apparent' excess deaths because you haven't allowed for the incredible savings of life as a consequence of no influenza/other respiratory infections. When you calculate your 'expected deaths' you need to calculate them on a no-respiratory infections basis. These infections result in deaths attributed to all causes, on a seasonal basis. I've done a lot of work on this, in an equivalent locked-down jurisdiction, Victoria (Australia).
See here, for example: https://madeleinelove.substack.com/p/victorian-vaccine-deaths
I've just bought nearly $1,000 worth of ABS data to get a really fine picture - report still to come. https://madeleinelove.substack.com/p/i-bought-some-death-data
If controlling for the absence of infections still doesn't bring forth the excess deaths then we'd be asking about the contents of the injections used in New Zealand.
Thanks for reviewing this data. I would ask you a few questions:
1. In the graph with deaths per day of exposure, you state a small increase is due to ageing. The rate increases to nearly double (150->300) during a year or so. Are you suggesting one year of ageing doubles the risk of death?
2. In the last graph you provide, with the expected mortality for the data cohort, why are you so confident it's due to missing data? Most other studies show that the vaccinated die at a lower rate than the average population. That would explain the difference.
3. Also in the last graph, you do not comment on the vastly different temporal patterns between expected and observed. Why would they differ?
Based on 2 and 3, my take is that you have identified what most safety studies have, namely that the mortality of the vaccinated is less than the general population.
Since it is entirely possible for a cohort to be both healthier than the average citizen and at the same time experience an increased risk from an intervention, this looks like a case of ignoratio elenchi.
A very deep dive into the power of Github and R programming.
I've been following nz data for quite some time. My opinion of it is that it is good for nothing more than a ball park estimate. This includes statsNZ data which is based on quarterly adjustment to a baseline derived from 4 yearly census data with a few other factors thrown in. Its just an estimate.
I wasted too much time on kirsch data before concluding it was not complete enough to draw any serious conclusions,. But i have to agree that that data as it was presented does show what your article shows ie, a slight decrease in age standardized mortality. That said I also agree that the NZ ministry of health should supply all data.
I really enjoyed the dive into Github territory and R programming. Way out of my current league, but at least there are good people out there who can utilize it.
The halfwits will use this analysis to deny the overwhelming vaccine harm world wide.
junkies will be junkies after all.
Thanks for the excellent analysis!
I find the NZWB data fascinating. We don't know, and maybe never will, where it came from and why it appears to be a partial dataset.
The situation reminds me of the analysis of Francesca Gino's papers and datasets. The datasets that she based her papers on were clearly manipulated, but in a clumsy way. http://datacolada.org/112 If the NZWB data was manipulated, did whoever did that think that no one would notice the manipulation?
I find Steve Kirsch often appears to leap to conclusions even when the data doesn't support what he is saying. This is yet another example of that.
I am skeptical of the vaccines. However , I agree with you that the NZWB dataset says nothing, one way or the other, about the safety and efficacy of the vaccines. I was so hoping we would finally know something. Alas, it was not to be.